DETUROPE - The Central European Journal of Regional Development and Tourism 2019, 11(1):74-94 | DOI: 10.32725/det.2019.005

A REÁLKONVERGENCIA MÉRÉSI SZINTJEI - A FELZÁRKÓZÁS KÉRDÉSEI MAGYARORSZÁGON

Zsuzsanna Tóth
Budapest Business School University of Applied Sciences, Zalaegerszeg Faculty of Business Administration, H-8900 Zalaegerszeg Gasparich Str. 18/A

Keywords: regional equalisation, European Union, Hungary, real convergence

The Levels to Measure Real Convergence - Catching-up Issues in Hungary

The paper primarily focuses on Hungary's catching-up process in terms of real economics. Yet, considering that the presence or absence of real convergence can be verified in several ways, in this paper the catching-up process is analysed at three levels: I will consider how well or badly Hungary performed economically against the average performance of EU member states between 2000 and 2017 and when we can foreseeably reach such average performance level. Four groups of EU member states can be established by beta convergence analysis by taking both the initial income levels and growth rates into consideration; Hungary is also categorised accordingly. To utilise another method of categorisation and to deepen our analysis, I furthermore investigate whether Hungary belongs to the category of less developed, medium developed or developed EU countries as far as real economic indices other than GDP per capita are concerned. Finally, I analyse cross-country inequalities in Hungary. When comparisons with the other EU member states are made, it is unavoidable to discuss convergent or divergent macroeconomic trends within the EU and for this reason the paper also investigates how convergence between the EU member states can be tested and reveals the results of the related calculations.

Published: March 31, 2019  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago Chicago Notes IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Tóth, Z. (2019). The Levels to Measure Real Convergence - Catching-up Issues in Hungary. DETUROPE - The Central European Journal of Regional Development and Tourism11(1), 74-94. doi: 10.32725/det.2019.005
Download citation

References

  1. Artner, A., & Róna, P. (2012). Eurosz(k)epszis: Az optimális valutaövezet elmélete és az euró gyakorlata; Köz-Gazdaság Volume VII, Issue 1 (February) pp. 83-102.
  2. Barna, I., & Székelyi, M. (2002). Túlélőkészlet az SPSS-hez; Typotex Kiadó, Budapest
  3. Barro, R. J., &Sala-i-Martin, X. (1990). Economic Growth and Convergence across the United States; National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper No. 3419, Cambridge Go to original source...
  4. Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1991). Convergence Across States and Regions; Brookings papers on Economic Activity No.1. Retrieved from: http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Projects/BPEA/1991%201/1991a_bpea_barro_salaimartin_blanchard_hall.PDF, 27 May 2015 pp. 107-182. Go to original source...
  5. Bourdin, S. (2015). National and regional trajectories of convergence and economic integration in Central and Eastern Europe; The Canadian journal of regional science - La revue canadienne des sciences régionales 38(1/3), December 2015 pp. 55-63.
  6. Busch, B. (2014). Zehn Jahre Osterweiterung der Europäischen Union. iw-Trends 1/2014; Retrieved from: http://www.iwkoeln.de/_storage/asset/161537/storage/master/file/4353264/download/TR-1-2014-Busch.pdf, 29 May 2015
  7. Csaba, L. (2006). A fölemelkedő Európa. Akadémia Kiadó, Budapest
  8. Cuaresma, J. C., Havettová, M., & Lábaj, M. (2012). Income Convergence Prospects in Europe: Assessing the Role of Human Capital Dynamics; Department of Economics Working Paper No. 143, Wirtschafts Universit ät Wien, July 2012 Retrieved from: https://epub.wu.ac.at/3597/2/wp143.pdf, 7 May 2015
  9. Dauderstädt, M. (2014). Convergence in Crisis - European Integration in Jeopardy; Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, International Policy Analysis. Retrieved from: http://library.fes.de/pdf-files/id/ipa/11001.pdf, 6 May 2015
  10. Diaz del H. J. L., Dorrucci, E., Heinz. F. F., & Muzikarova, S. (2017). Real convergence in the euro area: a long-term perspective. Occasional Paper Series No 203/December 2017, European Central Bank Go to original source...
  11. European Commission (2017). My Region, My Europe Our Future. Seventh report on economic, social and territorial cohesion. Report from the Commission; Brussels. Retrieved from: http://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/sources/docoffic/official/reports/cohesion7/short_7cr_en.pdf, 5 May 2018
  12. Filipetti, A., & Peyrache, A. (2013). Is the Convergence Party Over? Labour Productivity and the Technology Gap in the EU. Journal of Common Market Studies, 51, 1006-1022. Go to original source...
  13. Gill, S. I., & Raiser, M. (2012). Europe's Golden Growth - Restoring the Lustre of the European Economic Model; The World Bank, Washington 2012. Retrieved from: http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2012/04/20/000386194_20120420032146/Rendered/PDF/681680PUB0EPI004019020120Box367902B.pdf 7 May 2015
  14. Goecke, H. (2013). Europa driftet auseinander. Ist dies das Ende der realwirtschaftlichen Konvergenz? iw-Trends, Köln. Retrieved from: http://www.iwkoeln.de/_storage/asset/138521/storage/master/file/4183921/download/TR-4-2013-Goecke.pdf, 7 May 2015. pp. 67-79.
  15. ICEG EC (2005). ICEG Európai Központ és Világgazdaság Az új tagállamok konvergencia-indexe 2005/1 jelentés. Retrieved from: http://www.iceg-memo.hu/hun/_docs/publikaciok/egyeb/konvergencia05_1.pdf, 11 June 2014
  16. Jánossy, F. (1975). A gazdasági fejlődés trendvonaláról. Magvető Könyvkiadó, Budapest.
  17. Kaitila, V. (2013). Convergence, Income Distribution, and the Economic Crisis in Europe; Etla Working Papers, No. 14. 17 June 2013. Retrieved from: http://www.etla.fi/wp-content/uploads/ETLA-Working-Papers-14.pdf, 7 May 2015
  18. Levitt, T. (1983). The Globalisation of Markets. Harvard Business Review, 25(3), 92-102.
  19. Mihályi, P. (2011). Utolérési kísérletek Magyarországon, 1870 - 2030. Magyar Tudományos Akadémia, Közgazdaságtudományi Intézet; Műhelytanulmányok MT-DP 2011/1. Retrieved from: http://econ.core.hu/file/download/mtdp/MTDP1101.pdf, 10 May 2015
  20. Mundell, R. A. (1961). A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas; The American Economic Review, 51(4), 657-665.
  21. Nemes Nagy, J. (2005). Fordulatra várva - a regionális egyenlőtlenségek hullámai In: Dövényi-Schweizer (ed.). A földrajz dimenziói; Budapest MTA FKI, pp. 141-158.
  22. Novotná, M., & Volek, T. (2018). Efficiency of Production Factors in the EU. Deturope, 10(2), 147-168 Go to original source...
  23. Quah, Danny T. (1993). Galton's Fallacy and Test of the Convergence Hypothesis; Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 95(1), 427-443. Go to original source...
  24. Sala-i-Martin, X. (1995). The Classical Approach to Convergence Analyses; The Economic Journal, 106(437), 1019-1036. Yale University and Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Go to original source...
  25. Tóth, Z. (2015). A konvergencia mérhetősége és megvalósulása az EU-ban a visegrádi négyek példáján keresztül in György Juhász: A komáromi Selye János Egyetem 2015-ös "Innováció és kreativitás az oktatásban és a tudományban" Nemzetközi Tudományos Konferenciájának tanulmánykötete. pp. 148-164.
  26. Vojinović, B., Sanjaya, A., & Próchniak, M. (2009). Convergence Analyses among the Ten European Transition Economies; Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics 50. Retrieved from: http://eprints.lib.hokudai.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/2115/42820/2/sanjaya_HJE50.pdf, 9 May 2015. pp. 17-35.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.